Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.510659 7.349103 8.268270 9.352980 10.600936 11.995079 13.675144
2024-12-22 5.225649 6.312155 7.597681 9.239457 11.292651 13.791354 17.086513
2024-12-29 4.633645 5.896331 7.481274 9.635450 12.515557 16.273686 21.614842
2025-01-05 4.067254 5.392642 7.136200 9.627618 13.144948 18.006677 25.364337
2025-01-12 3.613448 4.958652 6.799579 9.544641 13.605871 19.508015 28.949437
2025-01-19 3.107698 4.385197 6.190595 8.978574 13.266579 19.765450 30.661390
2025-01-26 2.860551 4.147390 6.023990 9.023500 13.818067 21.396668 34.721690
2025-02-02 2.717616 4.043668 6.036640 9.330160 14.796368 23.801689 40.402588
2025-02-09 2.563097 3.904052 5.975218 9.503697 15.565842 25.943709 45.942464
2025-02-16 2.416718 3.761305 5.891173 9.623865 16.248053 28.006852 51.646315
2025-02-23 2.283964 3.626951 5.805181 9.725884 16.900964 30.086995 57.700946
2025-03-02 2.100744 3.393307 5.532257 9.470989 16.871951 30.887107 61.302191
2025-03-09 1.965155 3.232048 5.373668 9.414393 17.225331 32.504004 66.974169
2025-03-16 1.835153 3.069937 5.199713 9.311982 17.479446 33.961255 72.573574
2025-03-23 1.793714 3.058598 5.290485 9.714535 18.777634 37.735239 84.136023
2025-03-30 1.697105 2.940412 5.176357 9.707369 19.236004 39.786321 92.015664
2025-04-06 1.599170 2.811949 5.031822 9.623793 19.520711 41.489924 99.361327
2025-04-13 1.448603 2.575144 4.664293 9.052489 18.685313 40.536541 99.677584
2025-04-20 1.385569 2.498498 4.598061 9.097842 19.218080 42.845474 109.154797
2025-04-27 1.357218 2.485699 4.654781 9.407362 20.385829 46.848982 124.192706
2025-05-04 1.315626 2.443894 4.649937 9.582522 21.261577 50.261768 138.307241
2025-05-11 1.271120 2.392993 4.622277 9.703816 22.022624 53.496693 152.641931
2025-05-18 1.227688 2.341089 4.588230 9.806793 22.750909 56.757729 167.844500